CASE STUDY: COVID-19 Outbreak

CASE STUDY: COVID-19 

The novel corona virus (COVID-19) outbreak, that emerged from a live animal market in the city of Wuhan, Hubei Province in December 2019, is continuing to spread, and as of 04 April the number of confirmed cases of infection in worldwide has reached over 11,23,024. The situation is developing rapidly, and during the last few days the number of confirmed cases has increased quickly. The number of people who have succumbed to the disease has passed 59,140 people.

Risk assessment 

The number of cases is likely to continue to increase significantly over the next week as persons previously exposed to the virus develop symptoms. With the lockdown of Wuhan, Hubei province, the number of cases exported from the city will gradually be reduced, and the rise in cases in other parts of China will likewise slow. Although the effects of the lockdowns and travel restrictions in China will take effect and mitigate spread more over the coming weeks, it remains difficult to predict when the outbreak may reach a peak point. From an international perspective, the level of vigilance and preparedness among authorities is high. Even though similar lockdowns such as those imposed in China may become necessary in other countries, they are likely to be more limited in geographical scope.

Advice

• It is advisable to avoid all travel to Hubei province due to stringent travel restrictions amid the outbreak.
• Avoid non-essential travel to rest of mainland China (Hong Kong SAR and Macau SAR excluded) due to an increase in travel restrictions imposed by the government.
• If undertaking travel, maintain flexible itineraries.
• Health care professionals are advised to consistently apply appropriate infection prevention and control measures.
• Follow all official directives, including wearing of face masks in public places in Wuhan.
• Seek medical attention if you develop a fever, a cough or difficulty breathing within 14 days.
• Inform your health service prior to attendance about your recent travel to the city.
• Cover your mouth and nose with a tissue or your sleeve when coughing or sneezing.
• Wash hands often with soap and water for at least 20 seconds.
• Use an alcohol-based hand sanitiser if soap and water are not available.
• Avoid touching your eyes, nose, and mouth with unwashed hands.
• Avoid close contact with people who are sick.